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Talk in the cafes of Bruges is less of Christmas markets than the rising cost of financing Belgium's national debt. Photograph: Isopress/Rex Features
Talk in the cafes of Bruges is less of Christmas markets than the rising cost of financing Belgium's national debt. Photograph: Isopress/Rex Features

Belgium joins financial markets' hit list

This article is more than 13 years old
Traders push cost of insuring Belgium's debts to record levels in situation made worse by broken political system

Hold the moules et frites: Belgium has joined Portugal, Spain and Italy on the hit list of countries that may be heading for financial crisis.

In the bars of Antwerp and the cafes of Bruges, the talk is less of Christmas markets and hot chocolate than of the rising cost of financing a national debt which stands at 100% of annual national income.

Like Ireland, struggling to fend off criticism of its austerity package, there are signs that international bond investors are starting to view Belgium as living on borrowed money and borrowed time.

To make matters worse, it has a broken political system and is without a government since April. International money market traders today pushed the cost of insuring Belgium's debts to record levels. The interest payments still fall short of those charged for Spain's government the Portuguese, but analysts said the gap was narrowing quickly.

"Belgium is having to pay a political risk premium, because it still doesn't have a government in place to make decisions over how to curb its spending and its debts, which is what the market wants to see," said one analyst.

While the rest of the continent has wrestled with the question of what to cut and when in an effort to control government spending, the 10 million Belgians have been locked in a three-year row between Flemings and Walloons over how to govern a constituency encompassing Brussels and its suburbs, focus of a dispute over voting rights among the language groups.

In April the government of two times prime minister Yves Leterme collapsed when he failed to resolve what had become a constitutional crisis centred on the linguistically at odds constituency of Brussels-Halle-Vilvoorde. An election in June split the country. The majority of Flemish voters want a dose of British-style austerity, a range of socialist parties from both parts of the country - which as a group did fairly well in the election and form the largest bloc - refuse to agree any cuts.

In the febrile atmosphere of trading in government debt, any country without a coherent plan can be seen as irresponsible or with something to hide.

In short, the next Ireland.

The premium to insure Belgium's debts rose 5% today: it now costs £155,000 to insure £10m of Belgian bonds against the possibility of default. The cost for Spain and Portugal The cost of insuring Spanish and Portuguese debt also rose again, £312,000 and £510,000 respectively.

A government spokesman denied that Belgium was in trouble, saying makes the character of our debts very different to the UK.

"We are net savers. So our government does not need to refinance its debts in the same way as the UK, which has borrowed more internationally."

He conceded the political situation was unresolved, but Belgium was stable.

"It's unfortunate we must wait to form a new government, but it's a democratic process and we'll resolve it in time."

This article was amended on 24 and 25 November. The original said that Flemish Christian Democrats (CD&V) made the biggest seat gains in June's elections, and referred to BHV as an ethnically divided constituency on the outskirts of Brussels. This has been corrected.

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